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Integrated modelling of variable renewable energy-based power supply in Europe

机译:欧洲基于可变可再生能源的电源的集成建模

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摘要

Variable renewable energy (VRE) resources increasingly add fluctuations to power systems. The required types and capacities of balancing measures, amounts of curtailment, and costs associated with system integration need to be assessed for advising policy makers and economic actors. Previous studies mostly exclude storage from model-endogenous capacity expansion and omit concentrated solar power (CSP) completely. In this study, we stress the need for grid and backup capacity by investigating an integrated market in Europe, allowing for additional short-term as well as long-term storage and considering CSP as a dispatchable backup option. The Renewable Energy Mix (REMix) energy system model is introduced and applied to assess the capacity expansion and hourly dispatch at various levels of photovoltaic and wind power penetration. The model results demonstrate combinations of spatial and temporal balancing measures that enable net photovoltaic and wind supply shares of 60% and 70% of the annual demand, respectively. The usage of storage and grid can keep curtailments below 20% of the demand for theoretical VRE shares of up to 100%. Furthermore, we determine that the VRE supply structure has a strong impact on the least-cost allocation of power plants across Europe but only a limited effect on supply costs.
机译:可变的可再生能源(VRE)资源越来越多地增加了电力系统的波动。需要评估平衡措施的所需类型和能力,削减量以及与系统集成相关的成本,以便为决策者和经济参与者提供建议。先前的研究大多将存储排除在模型内生容量扩展之外,并且完全省略了聚光太阳能(CSP)。在这项研究中,我们通过调查欧洲的一个集成市场,强调了对电网和备用容量的需求,允许更多的短期和长期存储,并将CSP视为可调度的备用选项。引入了可再生能源混合(REMix)能源系统模型,并将其应用于评估光伏和风能渗透各个级别的容量扩展和每小时调度。模型结果证明了空间和时间平衡措施的组合,可使净光伏和风能供应分别占年需求的60%和70%。存储和网格的使用可以使削减量保持在理论VRE份额(最高100%)的20%以下。此外,我们确定VRE供应结构对整个欧洲电厂的最低成本分配有很大影响,但对供应成本的影响有限。

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